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每日市场简报

美股持续创新高纪录、中国工业生产跳升引发市场乐观情绪

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美股持续创新高纪录、中国工业生产跳升引发市场乐观情绪

By Ipek Ozkardeskaya


由于美国零售销售数据令人振奋,以及第四季度银行盈利喜人,从而进一步刺激投资者购入美股,美国股票延续了升势。标准普尔500开盘后跳升至3300点标志位置上方,随后在收盘前一路呈几何级数上扬,当天上涨0.84% 。所有行业股票都表现出色,其中科技股引领涨势。纳斯达克高收1.06% 。


中国工业生产和固定资产投资意外跳升,从而引发美股本轮升势,亚洲股市纷纷跟风。中国工业生产十二月月度环比增加6.9% ,而十一月则为6.2%。零售销售额增长率同比维持8% 不变,而调查预测值则为7.9%。最后,中国国内生产总值第四季度增幅为6%,和绝大多数人士预测值相符。

日经指数升0.45%、ASX 200涨0.32%,而沪股则盘整,因为中国强劲的经济数据引发市场担忧,中国人民银行可能削减货币刺激规模,从而支撑目前的增长。


FTSE涨0.25%,DAX期货指数涨0.50%,从而暗指欧市在周四交投乏力后开启涨势。.

由于投资者们担心美股本周表现优异的态势最终因市场修正而遭受打击,投资者们反而选择黄金作相应套期,受此影响,金价维持每盎司1550美元支持位。

由于美国将开始发行20年期国债以支撑其日益庞大的债务水平,受此消息影响,美国国债收益率大幅下滑。 由于美元指数在触及连续六轮交易的低位后反弹,10年期美国国债收益率升至三日高点。美元兑大多数G10货币反弹,仅对纽元下滑,因为十二月新西兰房屋销售跳升12% ,从而打击新西兰储备银行于本年降息的预期。然而,新西兰采购经理人指数则跌破50,从而令十二月的经济上升势头有所收缩。

尽管英国消费通胀逐步收紧,从而为英国迟早会降息提供更有力的证据,但英镑兑美元还是涨至1.3080 。到今天为止,十二月零售销售数据可能显示大幅上扬,从而进一步提振英镑。但市场预期英格兰银行显然定会转向持鸽派立场,从而应将汇价推高至1.31 上方。商品价格合约隔夜英镑指数平均期货走势暗示英格兰银行1月30日会议上降息25个基点的概率升至60%。

 
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