DISCLAIMER

Our systems have detected that you are using a computer with an IP address located in the USA.
If you are currently not located in the USA, please click “Continue” in order to access our Website.

Local restrictions - provision of cross-border services

Swissquote Bank Ltd (“Swissquote”) is a bank licensed in Switzerland under the supervision of the Swiss Financial Market Supervisory Authority (FINMA). Swissquote is not authorized as a bank or broker by any US authority (such as the CFTC or SEC) neither is it authorized to disseminate offering and solicitation materials for offshore sales of securities and investment services, to make financial promotion or conduct investment or banking activity in the USA whatsoever.

This website may however contain information about services and products that may be considered by US authorities as an invitation or inducement to engage in investment activity having an effect in the USA.

By clicking “Continue”, you confirm that you have read and understood this legal information and that you access the website on your own initiative and without any solicitation from Swissquote.

Research Market strategy
by Swissquote Analysts
每日市场简报

加元持稳

1

加元持稳

By Vincent Mivelaz

在美国众议院决定发布针对新疆维吾尔族穆斯林生活条件的法案以及特朗普在伦敦举行的北约峰会上发表关于临时贸易协议最终有望在2020年底达成的评论之后,中美贸易冲突似乎在恶化,而加元汇率似乎有望在2020年保持稳定。加拿大第三季度GDP数据季比增长1.30%(前值:3.70%),制造业活动连续第三个月恢复扩张,通胀率仍维持在目标区间内,加拿大央行将其2019年GDP预测从7月份的1.30%上调至10月份的1.50%。尽管外部因素不利,加拿大经济仍会保持强劲。在这种情况下,预计加拿大央行将在今天的货币政策会议上将隔夜利率维持在1.75%不变,而不会在声明里增加实质性变化,与此同时,在政治和贸易不确定性日益加剧的背景下,将保持温和的、取决于经济数据的立场。周一发布的制造业数据比较糟糕,但今天发布的美国ISM非制造业调查数据为54.5,应该会在今天的交易市场中发挥重要作用。

加拿大议会定于2019年12月5日复会。现任总理贾斯汀•特鲁多领导的联邦自由党在众议院中拥有157个席位,距离通过立法所需的绝大多数席位还差17个。由于加拿大国会议员计划在2019年12月10日之前对“供应业务”进行投票,其中包括确认政府预算,因此信任投票的风险在接下来的几天中仍然很高。尽管获批风险很小,但第一阶段很可能会就不信任动议进行第一次投票。此外,美国-墨西哥-加拿大协议似乎还面临其他障碍,因为立法者(其中包括民主党人)希望采用更严格的机制来证明墨西哥工人的权利符合该协议。这一决定使墨西哥的主权受到质疑并确认完全批准该协议可能需要比预期更长的时间,因为美国-墨西哥-加拿大协议似乎即将成为美国大选的工具。在这方面,加拿大议会很可能会确认该协议,自由党有望在一开始就重新引入该立法。

 
线上咨询