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Research Market strategy
by Swissquote Analysts




By Vincent Mivelaz

瑞士经济依然强劲,瑞士公司对此表示乐观,具体表现为订单积压,就业稳定,产能利用率高。1月份通货膨胀平静,年度和月度消费者价格分别为+ 0.60%和-0.30%。总体价格每年上涨0.50%(前值:0.30%),为2018年8月以来的最高涨幅。美元兑瑞郎目前交投于1.0027,预计短期内将达到1.0030附近。我们认为瑞士央行暂时不会结束其负利率政策。

事实上,瑞士经济仍然具有弹性,而其主要客户欧盟正面临着增长前景的严重下调。 例如,意大利央行最近将其2019年的GDP预测从1%下调至0.60%。这一消息引发了意大利联合政府的反抗,其中包括来自五星运动党领袖迪马约和北方联盟党领袖萨尔维尼,他们谴责了这一声明并威胁要取消该银行的独立性。